As you might expect, our friends in the gun control industry aren’t happy about ATF’s proposed rule changes. They have a problem, though. Crime in America is at historical lows and continues to fall. At the same time, gun sales remain strong and more people are carrying than ever before. Even The New York Times ran a favorable piece Friday on an armed citizen who saved lives by opening fire on a spree shooter.
This presents a real problem for the civilian disarmament industrial complex. They only have so many tools to use in order to get their names in the media and continue to raise more cash. Their repeated apocalyptic predictions of soaring violence and chaos in the streets couldn’t have been more off the mark.
Still, that’s really all they know how to do. Stirring up fear and panic is their stock-in-trade, so they tend to fall back on it no matter what the reality IRL may be. They need to keep themselves in the media and appear to remain relevant. And member of the media, who almost unanimously agree with them on policy, are always there to help.
But here’s a caution for the jernalizmists out there. If you get the chance to talk to people from Brady, Giffords, Everytown, or similar orgs, you are being completely negligent in your job (or outright biased) if they spout more garbage like they did in the tweet above and you don’t press them on why all of their prior predictions that crime would rise have been wrong. Sometimes hilariously wrong.
1. They made similar predictions of doom after Bruen. Homicide rates have fallen to record lows.
2. Every time a state passes constitutional carry, they say that state will see a surge in homicides, the most high profile example being Florida. Again, it didn’t happen.
3. These orgs also claimed Heller would lead to devastation. Instead, homicide fell until several years later with Ferguson.
4. When NFA taxes were eliminated for certain items a year ago, they said that would lead to more violent crime too. Nope.
5. In April of last year, they said Trump administration funding cuts to various community violence intervention nonprofits would “lead to an immediate surge in violence. There is no question that people will die and communities will suffer.” Didn’t happen.
6. If you go back far enough, gun control activists claimed the rise of shall-issue permitting would lead to crime surges. Again, in Florida. Back then though, their political allies at least admitted they were wrong when nothing bad resulted: “There are lots of people, including myself, who thought things would be a lot worse as far as that particular situation [carry reform] is concerned,” Florida Representative Ronald A. Silver (D), who opposed the law, told the Palm Beach Post in 1990. “I’m happy to say they’re not.” John Fuller, general counsel for the Florida Sheriffs Associated, added: “I haven’t seen where we have had any instance of persons with permits causing violent crimes, and I’m constantly on the lookout.”
So, to my friends in the media, the next time you’re writing a story on gun laws and get a quote from an anti-gun organization in which they — once again — predict more doom, and gloom, ask them why literally none of their other prognostications of death and destruction have come true. Their answer should be enlightening.
Kostas Moros is Director of Legal Research and Education for the Second Amendment Foundation.



Comment disappeared. It doesn’t say awaiting moderation. Just a page refresh.
That’s the ghost post issue here at SNW.
A true professional doesn’t ask questions they don’t want the answers to.
Especially if the answers will disrupt their world-view or bias.
I think that’s from the third year of jouranlisming school.
Anti-gun 20 years ago with hand waving freak-outery: “There will be river of blood in the streets if the state has constitutional carry!”
State enacts constitutional carry… no river of blood has appeared…
Anti-gun: “Ok, guys, it didn’t work here. Lets move on and try it on the next state.”
Anti-gun 19 years ago with hand waving freak-outery: “There will be river of blood in the streets if the state has constitutional carry!”
State enacts constitutional carry… no river of blood has appeared…
Anti-gun: “Ok, guys, it didn’t work here. Lets move on and try it on the next state.”
Anti-gun 18 years ago with hand waving freak-outery: “There will be river of blood in the streets if the state has constitutional carry!”
State enacts constitutional carry… no river of blood has appeared…
Anti-gun: “Ok, guys, it didn’t work here. Lets move on and try it on the next state.”
Anti-gun 17 years ago with hand waving freak-outery: “There will be river of blood in the streets if the state has constitutional carry!”
State enacts constitutional carry… no river of blood has appeared…
Anti-gun: “Ok, guys, it didn’t work here. Lets move on and try it on the next state.
Anti-gun 16 years ago with hand waving freak-outery: “There will be river of blood in the streets if the state has constitutional carry!”
State enacts constitutional carry… no river of blood has appeared…
Anti-gun: “Ok, guys, it didn’t work here. Lets move on and try it on the next state.
Anti-gun 15 years ago with hand waving freak-outery: “There will be river of blood in the streets if the state has constitutional carry!”
State enacts constitutional carry… no river of blood has appeared…
Anti-gun: “Ok, guys, it didn’t work here. Lets move on and try it on the next state.
etc…
Yup. My favorite was dealing with the student and faculty activists who were loudly predicting all sorts of mayhem and havoc if campus carry was allowed on the UT campus about a decade ago. We responded with the data showing that these sorts of “rivers of blood” predictions never came true, largely because legal civilian carriers commit drastically fewer crimes per capita than even law enforcement officers.
And guess what? Once again, ten years of legal campus carry on the UT campus shows we were right and they were wrong.
But will they ever admit that they were wrong? Of course not.
ATF PUT ON NOTICE: Congress Demands BILLION Gun Records Be DESTROYED.
“Congressman Andrew Clyde and 28 other members of Congress are demanding that the ATF dramatically change its proposed firearm-record retention rule—and destroy digitized firearm transaction records already held by the federal government.
In this video, I break down the lawmakers’ arguments involving the Firearm Owners’ Protection Act, ATF’s National Tracing Center, the reported billion-plus firearm records, the Administrative Procedure Act, and why this fight could have enormous consequences for gun-owner privacy and the Second Amendment.”
ht* tps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2lLq0Dp9WVM
That was already the law. The ATF kept the records anyway. What’s another demand from a Congress credit are going to do?
‘Hands up don’t shoot’ was a lie: The Hard Truth Celebrating 12 years without Michael Brown.
ht* tps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dk96724PSbk
The British View Of Guns in America Falls Apart With This Data.
ht* tps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EnSkaZXtswY
Trans person with a gun claims “Stand Your Ground”, yeah not so much and the trans person should have walked away. This event was claimed by the trans community as part of their numbers of so called ‘vio* lence against trans’….
Don’t Walk, Run! Productions: Wannabe [trans] Gunslinger Claims “Stand Your Ground.” The Evidence Says Otherwise.
ht* tps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0R2exjW4UKQ
Left wing tyrant begins final approach to mortality-expiration date: Hunter Biden Says Joe Biden’s Cancer Has Spread, Admits Pardon Was Wrong.
”
…
Hunter confirmed his father’s prostate cancer, first disclosed in May 2025, has ‘spread, metastasized into his bones and further.’ He described it as ‘very painful’ and ‘very debilitating,’ growing visibly emotional.
…”
ht* tps://redstate.com/joesquire/2026/08/08/hunter-biden-says-joe-bidens-cancer-has-spread-admits-pardon-was-wrong-n2205346
Washington State had shall Issue concealed carry long before Florida. Funny how they don’t/didn’t use that.