Commerce Dept: There’s No Evidence at All Showing Microstamping is Reliable

The Commerce Department’s National Institutes of Standards and Technology sent a letter to Chairman Brian Babin (R-Texas) to tell the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Science, Space and Technology that there is no reliable evidence that gun control’s vaunted goal of requiring microstamping on every handgun sold at retail would actually work.

The science just doesn’t show that it’s ready for primetime. Much like other gun control fantasy ideas, this one just doesn’t work.

That’s what NSSF has been trying to tell gun control, state legislatures and Congress.

To be clear, NIST officials informed Chairman Babin that, “NIST has not conducted independent research in this area, nor does the agency currently have an active workstream on this topic.” Studying it in a real-world application, they explained, would require a significant investment of time and resources. What NIST officials did, though, was a deep dive into the studies that have already been conducted and synthesized the results.

The answer they came back with is that microstamping shows no evidence that it is reliable technology that can produce repeated and reliable legible alphanumeric or gear codes.

Here’s the most salient comment they could make. “There is significant disagreement regarding the viability of this technology.”

Bottom line is that it just doesn’t work.

To get the science behind what microstamping is, or is supposed to be, here’s a quick refresher. Microstamping requires a laser-engraved alphanumeric code (that’s a combination of letters and numbers) or a gear code (that could involve identifiable geometric shapes or dots) that impart a replicated reverse code on the primer of a cartridge. In theory, this code would be unique to every firearm’s firing pin and impart that unique code to the cartridge’s primer. When that spent cartridge is ejected — again in theory — the spent cartridge cases would aid in criminal investigations when they would be collected and examined by criminal investigators. The investigators, going with the theory, would be able to verify the code from the cartridges to a database of firing pin codes maintained by the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF) National Integrated Ballistic Information Network (NIBIN).

Just like that, presto … criminal case solved.

Except that’s not how it works. That’s not how any of this works.

Hold On, Just a Little More Science

The determination by NIST officials, after reviewing the compendium of data examining microstamping, is that the existing studies show a microstamping cannot produce repeatable and legible codes. That’s for a couple reasons. Even the microstamping patent-holder, Todd Lizotte, got involved in the research that ultimately concluded that “…legitimate questions exist related to both the technical aspects, production costs, and database management associated with microstamping that should be addressed before wide scale implementation is legislatively mandated.”

Even though state-led studies in California and New Jersey promise that microstamping works, there are other independent studies that show it doesn’t. Reminder, these are states that want to require this unworkable technology that would burden firearm manufacturers not just with the technology costs but also the liability when it doesn’t work. The Association of Firearm and Tool Mark Examiners (AFTME) and the New York State Firearms Technical Working Group (TWG) observed that firing pins wear over time.

That makes sense. Firing pins striking metallic primers naturally wear over time. NIST noted that adding in the fact that firearms produce residue from gunpowder (as any recreational shooter can attest). That gunpowder residue can accumulate in the microscopic laser-engraved microstamp, obscuring the code.

That doesn’t take into account that different firing pins are used in different firearms. That variation of make and model, metallurgy and even lacquer coatings on ammunition can affect the ability of a legible code to be present on spent cartridges. On top of that, it doesn’t work at all in rimfire ammunition, since there’s an entirely different primer in the rim of the cartridge and not a separate primer. Manufacturers’ branding on the cartridge can affect legibility too.

How the firing pin strikes the primer can affect legibility too. Repeated strikes and drag marks can mar the microscopic microstamping code.

Gun control proponents claim this isn’t a big deal. Since partial license plates help investigators narrow down suspected vehicles involved in crimes, they claim a partial microstamp can do the same. But NSSF did the math on some of those claims too.

professor calculate formula blackboard

Impossible Math

In New Jersey’s microstamping study, an armorer fired 10 handguns on an indoor range. Ten of the 50 expended cartridge cases were designated for examination, including the first expended cartridge case, the fiftieth and the final eight from various intervals in between.

Only one of the 10 fired cartridge cases delivered a full gear and alphanumeric code resulting in a failure rate of 90 percent for the chosen sample. In the end, nine out of 10 rounds sampled omitted critical portions of either the gear code, alphanumeric code, or both.

If the result omitted a single digit, that would mean one would have to potentially trace 10 firearms and, in turn, 10 suspects. If an alphabetic character were to be omitted, that means there are 26 guns to trace. If one number and one letter are omitted, you are getting into big numbers to trace. At a minimum, 50 percent of an eight-character code with 36 combined objects results in 1.7 million unique combinations. And these were the results only after collecting 10 fired rounds.

Those results were good enough for New Jersey’s analysts to tell the state attorney general that microstamping is viable. NIST has a problem with this, though. The report to Congress states that there are large-scale independent (blind) studies and the existing studies are too limited to demonstrate microstamping viability. That’s caused forensic science organization to voice concerns inconsistent test performance in those limited studies.

Practical Problems

The NIST study also examined the obvious questions of what happens if a criminal replaces the firing pin or obliterates the laser-engraved code. After all, criminals already obliterate serial numbers stamped into firearm’s frame.

“No realistic mechanical mitigation strategy currently exists to address these modifications, and critics argue this vulnerability undermines the technology’s effectiveness as a crime-solving tool,” the report states. The NIST report also recognizes that microstamping critics view any requirement as a “de fact ban” on firearms that don’t have it. If that’s unbelievable, just look at the states banning the sale of certain semiautomatic handguns with a cruciform trigger bar. California’s Unsafe Handgun Roster slashed the available handguns by 50 percent.

There you have it. There’s a yawning gap of evidence that shows microstamping works. There’s significant evidence that the failure rates are entirely too high to have any value to criminal investigators.

It might be time for gun control politicians to put as much effort into actually locking up criminals as they do trying to show their gun control schemes work. Problem is … they won’t and they don’t.

 

Larry Keane is SVP for Government and Public Affairs, Assistant Secretary and General Counsel of the National Shooting Sports Foundation.

 

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9 thoughts on “Commerce Dept: There’s No Evidence at All Showing Microstamping is Reliable”

  1. TRUMP DOJ ANNOUNCES MASSIVE 2A MOVE FOR SCOTUS!.

    The Trump Administration just made a major move involving the Gun Data and the CDC to help ensure a 2A victory before the Supreme Court. Mark Smith, Four Boxes Diner, discusses..

    [note: Under the Biden admin the anti-gun lobbied CDC to remove a DGU use study from the CDC website. The study, commissioned by the CDC its self, placed Defensive Gun Use (DGU) at up to 2.5. million annually. This was upsetting to the anti-gun as it countered their false narrative so in the left wing tyranny of the Biden tyranny the data got removed to appease the anti-gun. The CDC was originally called out on this in 2022. But now the data has been restored to the CDC web site by the Trump DOJ]

    ht* tps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WLmFTqXwQLE

  2. Anti-Gunners Upset by Recent Change to CDC Website

    [note: Under the Biden admin the anti-gun lobbied CDC to remove a DGU use study from the CDC website. The study, commissioned by the CDC its self, placed Defensive Gun Use (DGU) at up to 2.5. million annually. This was upsetting to the anti-gun as it countered their false narrative so in the left wing tyranny of the Biden tyranny the data got removed to appease the anti-gun. The CDC was originally called out on this in 2022. But now the data has been restored to the CDC web site by the Trump DOJ]

    ht* tps://bearingarms.com/camedwards/2026/08/24/anti-gunners-upset-by-recent-change-to-cdc-website-n1233603

  3. Do the microstamp proponents think that the average criminal is too stupid to know how to change out a firing pin?

    1. A Question, I Haz

      That was my very first thought way back years ago when the microstamping conversation began in Sacramento here in CA. Swap a barrel, swap a firing pin, swap a [insert favorite part here]. Well, CA decided to put the kabosh on private purchases of such “precursor parts” which are not the registered frame itself but critical to the function of the gun. All purchases now go through FFLs, including upper assemblies and even the individual firing pins.

      So what’s the final argument to bring any sense and reason to the table? What about mentioning a near-future world in which guns now have such microstamping (thanks CA), but one simply picks up ejected casings from the ground at his local range, then uses them to salt a crime scene to cause a misdirect for the forensics. Similar to using a spare barrel to commit a crime, then discarding the barrel and inserting the original one back into the gun so no ballistic match can be made. So many ways to thwart crime-solving, it’s laughable that the Keystone Kops in our legislature buy into the false notion that any of these restrictive measures are going to do any good. Only serve to reduce our liberties. All registration, microstamping, and identification procedures are predicated on the assumption of your ability & intention to commit some future crime.

  4. DGU: Stabbed as He Tried to Walk Away, Jet Ski Rider Shoots 47-Year-Old Attacker on Ogeechee River Sandbar

    “A man who traveled by Jet Ski to a sandbar on the Ogeechee River in Chatham County, Georgia, was stabbed by 47-year-old Kevin Ramage after a verbal confrontation on the evening of August 23, 2026. As the victim attempted to leave, Ramage stabbed him, and the victim responded by shooting Ramage.

    The victim left by Jet Ski and met emergency responders at a nearby bridge. Ramage received treatment for non-life-threatening gunshot wounds and was subsequently taken into custody on an aggravated assault warrant.

    CHATHAM COUNTY, GA — A man who rode a Jet Ski out to a sandbar in the Ogeechee River was stabbed there by another man and shot him, according to the Chatham County Police Department.

    Police say the incident happened around 6:45 p.m. on Sunday, August 23, 2026, on a sandbar near Shad Road. Witnesses and the victim told Criminal Investigations Division detectives that shortly after the victim arrived by Jet Ski, 47-year-old Kevin Ramage started a verbal confrontation with him.

    The victim said he tried to leave. Ramage stabbed him. The victim fired his gun and struck Ramage.
    …”

    ht* tps://www.usacarry.com/stabbed-as-he-tried-to-walk-away-jet-ski-rider-shoots-47-year-old-attacker-on-ogeechee-river-sandbar/

  5. Louisiana State Police Tried to Pull the Justice Department Into a Concealed Carry Lawsuit. The Judge Said No, and the Case Stays Pointed at the State.

    “Key Takeaways

    A federal judge denied Louisiana State Police Superintendent Frank Besson’s request to involve the U.S. attorney general in a lawsuit challenging Louisiana’s concealed carry law.
    Judge David C. Joseph ruled that the lawsuit does not challenge the constitutionality of the federal Gun-Free School Zones Act, so there was no need for a defense from the Justice Department.
    The decision keeps the lawsuit focused on Louisiana’s concealed carry rules, allowing it to proceed more quickly without introducing additional constitutional arguments.
    The ruling represents a small win for gun owners, but it does not grant any new rights or changes in law.
    The ongoing challenge to Louisiana’s concealed carry scheme remains active, with no court ruling on its merits yet.
    …”

    ht* tps://www.usacarry.com/louisiana-state-police-tried-to-pull-the-justice-department-into-a-concealed-carry-lawsuit-the-judge-said-no-and-the-case-stays-pointed-at-the-state/

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